UK Election Analysis and Predictions

2019 General Election Results

The map below shows the winning party in each UK parliamentary constituency for the 2019 general election. Constituency boundaries reflect the 2024 configuration, enabling comparison across elections.

2024 General Election Results

This map displays the winning party in each constituency for the July 2024 general election, using the same boundaries for consistency.

Polling Trends (2024–2025)

The chart below shows the evolution of UK-wide voting intention polls since the 2024 general election. Data are drawn from multiple pollsters and reflect percentages for each party.

Seat Predictions for the Next Election

Using a simple uniform national swing model, we estimate the number of seats each party might win in the next UK general election. These predictions are based on the latest polling averages and do not account for local variations or tactical voting.